What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 06 Jun 2014 → 17 Jun 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 19 Nov 2008 → 14 Oct 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 10 | 30 Mar 2005 → 04 Sep 2005 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 9 | 16 Nov 2023 → 28 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 9 | 16 Jan 2022 → 19 Nov 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 03 Jun 2001 → 16 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 13 Jun 1997 → 24 Aug 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 07 Apr 1994 → 26 Jun 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 20 Jul 1975 → 28 Oct 1975 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 15 Nov 2025 → 23 Jun 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 246 | 73 | 29.7% | 2 | 8 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 188 | 61 | 32.5% | 2 | 8 |
| Copa América | 130 | 29 | 22.3% | 3 | 9 |
| FIFA World Cup | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 0 | 5 |
| Gold Cup | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 5 | 5 |
| Central American and Caribbean Games | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 | 6 |
| Miami Cup | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Confederations Cup | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Bolivarian Games | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| USA Cup | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| Joe Robbie Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Marlboro Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Rous Cup | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Kirin Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Brazil Independence Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Copa América qualification | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Lunar New Year Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Kirin Challenge Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2025 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2023 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 2022 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2021 | 17 | 10 | 58.8% | 2 |
| 2020 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 7 |
| 2018 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 2017 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 3 |
| 2016 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 5 |
| 2015 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2014 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 9 |
| 2013 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 2012 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2011 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 5 |
| 2010 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2009 | 12 | 0 | 0.0% | 12 |
| 2008 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 2007 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 5 |
| 2006 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 2005 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 10 |
| 2004 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2003 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 6 |
| 2002 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 9 |
| 2000 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 7 |
| 1998 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 1997 | 18 | 4 | 22.2% | 9 |
| 1996 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 5 |
| 1995 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 4 |
| 1994 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 9 |
| 1993 | 18 | 9 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1991 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 2 |
| 1990 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1989 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 1988 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1985 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 5 |
| 1984 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 1983 | 7 | 5 | 71.4% | 2 |
| 1981 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 1980 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1979 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1977 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1976 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 1973 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1972 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1966 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1962 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1961 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1957 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 6 |
| 1949 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1947 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 4 |
| 1946 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1945 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1938 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
Over 142 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Colombia drew 44 where the draw model expected 32.5 from those particular fixtures — about 12 more, or 2.3 standard errors, more of a gap than most, though roughly one subject in twenty looks like this by chance.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 5 times running. A flat league average would have expected 32.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.