Club América
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 4 Oct 2026.
Over 499 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Club América drew 138 where the draw model expected 130.1 from those particular fixtures — about 8 more, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 134.3 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 03 May 2015 → 08 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 06 Dec 2013 → 08 Mar 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 11 | 27 May 2024 → 18 Sep 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 27 Oct 2019 → 19 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 03 Aug 2013 → 05 Oct 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 07 Feb 2021 → 11 Apr 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 10 | 13 Apr 2017 → 19 Aug 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 15 Nov 2012 → 10 Feb 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 31 Jan 2026 → 22 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 08 Aug 2022 → 11 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liga MX | 590 | 158 | 26.8% | 1 | 20 |
| Club Friendlies | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 0 | 2 |
| FIFA Club World Cup | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 0 | 3 |
| Campeón de Campeones | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 28 | 8 | 28.6% | 9 |
| 2025 | 45 | 12 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 2024 | 49 | 15 | 30.6% | 11 |
| 2023 | 45 | 14 | 31.1% | 7 |
| 2022 | 47 | 13 | 27.7% | 9 |
| 2021 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 2020 | 29 | 7 | 24.1% | 6 |
| 2019 | 46 | 10 | 21.7% | 10 |
| 2018 | 45 | 19 | 42.2% | 5 |
| 2017 | 38 | 8 | 21.1% | 10 |
| 2016 | 47 | 18 | 38.3% | 8 |
| 2015 | 42 | 6 | 14.3% | 20 |
| 2014 | 42 | 9 | 21.4% | 10 |
| 2013 | 46 | 12 | 26.1% | 11 |
| 2012 | 21 | 7 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| Date | Home | · | Away | 1 / X / 2 | Draw · logistic | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 05 Oct 2026 | ||||||
| 05 Oct 01:00 |
Guadalajara Chivas
|
vs |
|
– / – / – | 26.7% | ITL · Club Friendlies |
Draw · logistic is the chance of a draw from the logistic draw model: five signals — the goals model, the draw rate at the Elo gap, the expected goals and the competition's own draw rate — fitted on every match played so far and recalibrated, then applied to fixtures not yet played. A dash means the model has not rated that fixture. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.