What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 12 Sep 2023 → 18 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 10 Jun 2017 → 16 Nov 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 12 Mar 2015 → 09 Nov 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 8 | 23 Nov 2003 → 17 Nov 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 7 | 11 Jun 2019 → 19 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 7 | 15 Aug 1966 → 12 Dec 1966 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 23 Apr 2001 → 07 May 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 23 Jun 1993 → 07 Jul 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 6 | 03 Sep 1985 → 27 Oct 1985 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 6 | 14 May 1958 → 01 Jun 1958 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 71 | 1 | 1.4% | 8 | 8 |
| Friendly | 43 | 9 | 20.9% | 1 | 4 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 41 | 9 | 22.0% | 3 | 6 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 29 | 1 | 3.5% | 5 | 5 |
| EAFF Championship | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 3 | 3 |
| Asian Games | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 1 | 5 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 1 | 3 |
| Philippine Peace Cup | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 3 |
| AFC Challenge Cup qualification | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Dragon Cup | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Vietnam Independence Cup | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 0 | 1 |
| AFC Challenge Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| EAFF Championship qualification | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| SKN Football Festival | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Korea Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2024 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2023 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2019 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2018 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2017 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 2016 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2015 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2012 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2011 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2010 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 2009 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2008 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2007 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2004 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2003 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2000 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1997 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1992 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1974 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1971 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1970 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1968 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1967 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1966 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1965 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1964 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1963 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1962 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1960 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1959 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1958 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1954 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 248 matches (Apr 1950 – Nov 2025), Chinese Taipei drew 33 where the draw model expected 44.2 from those particular fixtures — about 11 fewer, or 1.9 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 51.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.