Chile
What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 30 Sep 2026.
Over 136 matches (Jan 2015 – Jun 2026), Chile drew 35 where the draw model expected 30.6 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.9 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 30.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 03 Jun 2000 → 22 Jul 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 15 | 04 Aug 1971 → 16 Aug 1972 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 21 Mar 2012 → 26 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 05 May 2010 → 17 Nov 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 12 | 15 Jun 2008 → 29 Mar 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 10 | 11 Jun 1997 → 16 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 20 Sep 1955 → 11 Mar 1956 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 8 | 17 Nov 2015 → 22 Jun 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 8 | 15 Oct 2013 → 23 Jun 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 02 Sep 2011 → 15 Feb 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 330 | 72 | 21.8% | 2 | 9 |
| Copa América | 191 | 37 | 19.4% | 0 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 182 | 38 | 20.9% | 0 | 11 |
| FIFA World Cup | 33 | 7 | 21.2% | 0 | 6 |
| Copa del Pacífico | 19 | 2 | 10.5% | 2 | 2 |
| Copa Juan Pinto Durán | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Copa Carlos Dittborn | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Copa Bernardo O'Higgins | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Pan American Championship | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 0 | 5 |
| Confederations Cup | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Millennium Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Brazil Independence Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Kirin Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Olympic Games | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Matthews Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Rous Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Copa América qualification | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Lunar New Year Cup | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 2023 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2021 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2020 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 4 |
| 2018 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2017 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 5 |
| 2016 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 7 |
| 2015 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 2014 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2013 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 2012 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 2011 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 7 |
| 2010 | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 13 |
| 2009 | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2008 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 9 |
| 2007 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 5 |
| 2006 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2005 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2004 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2002 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 20 | 2 | 10.0% | 13 |
| 2000 | 17 | 1 | 5.9% | 8 |
| 1999 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 1998 | 14 | 8 | 57.1% | 2 |
| 1997 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 10 |
| 1996 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 1995 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 1994 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1993 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 1991 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 8 |
| 1990 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1989 | 22 | 5 | 22.7% | 8 |
| 1988 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1987 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1986 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1985 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 1984 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 6 |
| 1982 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1981 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 5 |
| 1980 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1979 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 4 |
| 1977 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1976 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1975 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1974 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 2 |
| 1973 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 1972 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1971 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 7 |
| 1970 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1969 | 11 | 5 | 45.5% | 2 |
| 1968 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1967 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 1966 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 5 |
| 1965 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 2 |
| 1964 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1961 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 1960 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1959 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 3 |
| 1957 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1956 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 1955 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1954 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1953 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1952 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1950 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1949 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1947 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1946 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1945 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1942 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1941 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1940 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1939 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1937 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1936 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1935 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1930 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1928 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1927 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1926 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1924 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1922 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1920 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1919 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1917 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1916 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1913 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1910 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
