What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 17 Oct 2023 → 11 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 07 Jun 2008 → 11 Oct 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 06 Jun 2015 → 17 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 11 Nov 2011 → 27 May 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 03 Sep 2006 → 02 Jun 2007 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 08 Nov 1999 → 14 Nov 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 08 Sep 2025 → 14 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 09 Oct 2019 → 17 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 09 Jul 2010 → 09 Oct 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 26 Jul 2002 → 11 Oct 2002 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 48 | 15 | 31.3% | 1 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 28 | 3 | 10.7% | 3 | 6 |
| Friendly | 27 | 7 | 25.9% | 0 | 3 |
| UDEAC Cup | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 4 | 4 |
| UNIFFAC Cup | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| African Friendship Games | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2024 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2023 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2020 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2019 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2015 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2014 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2012 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 4 |
| 2008 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 2007 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2006 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2000 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1998 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1997 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1992 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1989 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 1988 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1976 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1963 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1961 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
Over 140 matches (Dec 1961 – Mar 2026), Chad drew 34 where the draw model expected 33.1 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 32.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.