What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 22 Mar 2024 → 19 Mar 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 06 Sep 2021 → 23 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 06 Jun 2025 → 12 Oct 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 23 Mar 2023 → 17 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 08 Nov 1999 → 14 Nov 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 26 Mar 2011 → 10 Aug 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 05 Oct 1986 → 14 Dec 1986 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 3 | 09 Jun 2026 → 28 Sep 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 30 Mar 2021 → 07 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 13 Oct 2019 → 19 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 54 | 13 | 24.1% | 6 | 6 |
| Friendly | 27 | 5 | 18.5% | 1 | 3 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 26 | 4 | 15.4% | 4 | 5 |
| UDEAC Cup | 21 | 6 | 28.6% | 0 | 3 |
| UNIFFAC Cup | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| African Friendship Games | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2024 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2023 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2022 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2021 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 5 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2018 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2016 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2015 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2013 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2011 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2003 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1999 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1990 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1989 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1988 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1986 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1973 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1966 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1960 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 140 matches (Apr 1960 – Sep 2026), Central African Republic drew 29 where the draw model expected 32.9 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 0.8 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 32.5 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.