What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 05 May 1999 → 24 Oct 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 05 Sep 2019 → 19 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 21 Jul 1995 → 24 Oct 1995 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 14 Nov 1993 → 09 Apr 1994 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 08 Jun 2024 → 12 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 02 Sep 2011 → 11 Nov 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 11 Oct 2008 → 09 Nov 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 17 Nov 2002 → 01 Dec 2002 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 10 May 1998 → 26 Jul 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 27 Sep 2026 → 04 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFU Caribbean Cup qualification | 34 | 8 | 23.5% | 2 | 3 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 23 | 5 | 21.7% | 2 | 5 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 20 | 4 | 20.0% | 2 | 6 |
| Friendly | 19 | 1 | 5.3% | 1 | 4 |
| CFU Caribbean Cup | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 3 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Nations League qualification | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| CONCACAF Series | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2025 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2024 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 2023 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2022 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2021 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2015 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2010 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2006 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2000 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1999 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1998 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1996 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1995 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1994 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1993 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1990 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 123 matches (Mar 1985 – Oct 2026), Cayman Islands drew 21 where the draw model expected 23.3 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 25.1 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.