What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 30 Sep 2000 → 25 Mar 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 13 Jun 2015 → 21 Nov 2015 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 01 Jun 2008 → 02 Jan 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 13 Nov 2019 → 25 Jan 2020 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 11 Dec 2004 → 25 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 02 Aug 1998 → 19 Jun 1999 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 11 Jun 2024 → 13 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 5 | 20 Jun 2023 → 09 Jan 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 04 Sep 2021 → 29 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 28 Nov 2015 → 04 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 71 | 18 | 25.4% | 1 | 6 |
| CECAFA Cup | 63 | 13 | 20.6% | 2 | 6 |
| Friendly | 46 | 14 | 30.4% | 1 | 5 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 32 | 6 | 18.8% | 4 | 6 |
| African Cup of Nations | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Nile Basin Tournament | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2024 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2023 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2022 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 2021 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2020 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 2019 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2016 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2015 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 7 |
| 2014 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2013 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2011 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 3 |
| 2010 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2009 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 4 |
| 2008 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2007 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 3 |
| 2006 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2004 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2003 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2002 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 6 |
| 1999 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1998 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1993 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | 1 |
| 1992 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1987 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1976 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1975 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1974 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1964 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1953 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 226 matches (Sep 1953 – Sep 2026), Burundi drew 52 where the draw model expected 53.0 from those particular fixtures — about 1 fewer, or 0.2 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 53.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 8 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.