What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 29 Mar 2026 → 04 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 6 | 08 Jun 2024 → 12 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 28 Jan 2004 → 28 Mar 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 01 Feb 2000 → 19 Mar 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 04 Jun 2025 → 15 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 25 Sep 2004 → 19 Dec 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 27 Mar 2021 → 05 Jun 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 06 Sep 2019 → 14 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 30 May 2014 → 16 Aug 2014 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 07 Jul 2012 → 09 Sep 2012 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFU Caribbean Cup qualification | 44 | 5 | 11.4% | 2 | 4 |
| Friendly | 33 | 6 | 18.2% | 2 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 2 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 4 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Nations League qualification | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| CONCACAF Series | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2025 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2024 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2023 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 1 |
| 2022 | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 |
| 2021 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2019 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2018 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2016 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2014 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2012 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2010 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2009 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2008 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 2 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2004 | 11 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 2002 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2001 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1999 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1998 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1997 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1994 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1992 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1991 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1985 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 127 matches (Nov 1985 – Oct 2026), British Virgin Islands drew 22 where the draw model expected 24.6 from those particular fixtures — about 3 fewer, or 0.6 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 26.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.