What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 28 May 2015 → 04 Jun 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 9 | 15 Jul 2022 → 08 Jul 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 12 Nov 2020 → 13 Jul 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 07 Jun 2024 → 15 Oct 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 08 Sep 2012 → 24 Mar 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 6 | 29 Sep 2007 → 26 Mar 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 6 | 27 Feb 2000 → 01 Jun 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 6 | 28 Jun 1992 → 10 Jan 1993 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 5 | 23 Dec 2025 → 31 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 5 | 05 Jun 2018 → 13 Oct 2018 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 142 | 47 | 33.1% | 0 | 10 |
| African Cup of Nations qualification | 79 | 19 | 24.1% | 0 | 4 |
| COSAFA Cup | 53 | 19 | 35.9% | 0 | 3 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 46 | 7 | 15.2% | 0 | 5 |
| African Cup of Nations | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| COSAFA Cup qualification | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Mukuru 4 Nations | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2025 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 3 |
| 2024 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 2023 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 2022 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2021 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2020 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 2 |
| 2018 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2017 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2016 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2015 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 9 |
| 2014 | 14 | 4 | 28.6% | 5 |
| 2013 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 5 |
| 2012 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2011 | 11 | 6 | 54.6% | 3 |
| 2010 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2009 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 3 |
| 2008 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2007 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2005 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 2003 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 2 |
| 2002 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 2001 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2000 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1999 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1998 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1997 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1996 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1995 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1994 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1993 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1991 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1990 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 1989 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1987 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1986 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1981 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1976 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1968 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 101 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Botswana drew 20 where the draw model expected 26.0 from those particular fixtures — about 6 fewer, or 1.4 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 2 times running. A flat league average would have expected 25.6 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 2 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.