What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 27 Aug 2023 → 14 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 16 | 15 Jun 2015 → 06 Oct 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 05 Sep 2021 → 29 Mar 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 12 | 12 Jun 1997 → 16 Nov 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 11 | 22 Oct 2008 → 24 Feb 2010 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 19 Mar 2003 → 05 Jun 2004 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 25 Jan 2026 → 01 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 22 Mar 2019 → 15 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 17 Nov 2007 → 06 Sep 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 06 Jun 2025 → 18 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 188 | 34 | 18.1% | 2 | 11 |
| Friendly | 170 | 42 | 24.7% | 7 | 7 |
| Copa América | 122 | 27 | 22.1% | 3 | 7 |
| Copa Paz del Chaco | 23 | 8 | 34.8% | 0 | 2 |
| FIFA World Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 1 | 2 |
| Bolivarian Games | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 4 |
| USA Cup | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 3 |
| Brazil Independence Cup | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Confederations Cup | 3 | 2 | 66.7% | 1 | 1 |
| Kirin Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Nehru Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Joe Robbie Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Kirin Challenge Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 2025 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2024 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 13 |
| 2023 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 7 |
| 2022 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2021 | 17 | 2 | 11.8% | 8 |
| 2020 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 9 |
| 2018 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2017 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2016 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 8 |
| 2015 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 8 |
| 2014 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2013 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 1 |
| 2012 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 2011 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 9 | 0 | 0.0% | 9 |
| 2008 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 7 |
| 2007 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 2006 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2005 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 2004 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 2003 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 2002 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2001 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 4 |
| 2000 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 5 |
| 1999 | 16 | 9 | 56.3% | 4 |
| 1997 | 18 | 2 | 11.1% | 12 |
| 1996 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 6 |
| 1995 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 1994 | 16 | 7 | 43.8% | 3 |
| 1993 | 24 | 7 | 29.2% | 7 |
| 1991 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1989 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 4 |
| 1987 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1985 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 5 |
| 1983 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1981 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1980 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1979 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1977 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 1975 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1973 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 7 |
| 1972 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1971 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1969 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1967 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1965 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1963 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1962 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1961 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1959 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1957 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 5 |
| 1953 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1950 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1949 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1947 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1946 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1945 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1938 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1930 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1927 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1926 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
Over 122 matches (Jun 2015 – Oct 2026), Bolivia drew 16 where the draw model expected 23.0 from those particular fixtures — about 7 fewer, or 1.6 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 3 times running. A flat league average would have expected 27.8 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.