What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 12 Mar 2015 → 13 Aug 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 28 Mar 2017 → 01 Apr 2018 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 7 | 26 Sep 1999 → 18 Feb 2000 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 6 | 22 Jun 2023 → 17 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 6 | 06 Oct 2003 → 17 Oct 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 5 | 04 Jun 2025 → 18 Nov 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 5 | 08 Dec 2005 → 04 Apr 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 06 Jun 2019 → 03 Oct 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 17 Mar 2011 → 25 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 11 Jan 2003 → 23 Apr 2003 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAFF Cup | 28 | 1 | 3.6% | 3 | 3 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 25 | 3 | 12.0% | 4 | 6 |
| Friendly | 17 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 14 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 10 |
| South Asian Games | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| AFC Challenge Cup qualification | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 3 |
| AFC Challenge Cup | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Tri Nation Tournament | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| The Other Final | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2025 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 2024 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2023 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 2019 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2018 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2017 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2016 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2015 | 13 | 0 | 0.0% | 13 |
| 2013 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2012 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2011 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2009 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2008 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2007 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2006 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2003 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 6 |
| 2002 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2001 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2000 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1999 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1985 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1984 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1982 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 110 matches (Apr 1982 – Jun 2026), Bhutan drew 7 where the draw model expected 18.8 from those particular fixtures — about 12 fewer, or 3.0 standard errors, well beyond the model — which is as likely to be a gap in the model as a property of Bhutan.
As unusual as a coin landing the same way 10 times running. A flat league average would have expected 21.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.