What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 24 Mar 2024 → 14 Nov 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 30 Aug 2019 → 17 Nov 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 6 | 15 Jun 2011 → 11 Oct 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 04 Aug 2018 → 23 Mar 2019 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 08 Oct 2016 → 22 Jan 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 26 Sep 2026 → 06 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 15 Nov 2025 → 30 Mar 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 21 Mar 2025 → 07 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 3 | 08 Sep 2023 → 13 Oct 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 3 | 27 Mar 2022 → 05 Jun 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 32 | 5 | 15.6% | 2 | 6 |
| UNCAF Cup | 29 | 5 | 17.2% | 4 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Nations League | 24 | 3 | 12.5% | 0 | 6 |
| Friendly | 23 | 7 | 30.4% | 1 | 3 |
| CONCACAF Nations League qualification | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| CONCACAF Series | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Gold Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Gold Cup qualification | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2024 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2023 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 3 |
| 2022 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2021 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 7 |
| 2018 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2017 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2016 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2015 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2013 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 3 |
| 2011 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 2010 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2008 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2007 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2005 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2004 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2001 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 2000 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1999 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1997 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1996 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1995 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1983 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 125 matches (Dec 1983 – Oct 2026), Belize drew 20 where the draw model expected 24.3 from those particular fixtures — about 4 fewer, or 1.0 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 26.0 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 4 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.