What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 31 Mar 2000 → 27 Feb 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 14 | 06 Dec 2021 → 27 Sep 2022 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 12 | 12 Oct 2023 → 26 Mar 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 11 | 28 May 2021 → 30 Nov 2021 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 10 | 11 Feb 2009 → 31 Aug 2009 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 9 | 22 Dec 2024 → 10 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 11 Jun 2015 → 29 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 16 Jan 2008 → 02 Jun 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 09 Sep 1978 → 30 Mar 1979 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 30 Jun 2007 → 21 Oct 2007 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 197 | 52 | 26.4% | 1 | 16 |
| Gulf Cup | 121 | 36 | 29.8% | 5 | 6 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 112 | 33 | 29.5% | 4 | 8 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 44 | 6 | 13.6% | 3 | 6 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 27 | 6 | 22.2% | 4 | 4 |
| Arab Cup | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 3 | 3 |
| WAFF Championship | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Asian Games | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 0 | 3 |
| Korea Cup | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 2 | 3 |
| Prime Minister's Cup | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 0 | 2 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 | 4 |
| Arab Cup qualification | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Millennium Cup | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2025 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 7 |
| 2024 | 20 | 5 | 25.0% | 8 |
| 2023 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 2022 | 15 | 1 | 6.7% | 13 |
| 2021 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 11 |
| 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2019 | 19 | 7 | 36.8% | 3 |
| 2018 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 2017 | 13 | 6 | 46.2% | 4 |
| 2016 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2015 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2014 | 12 | 7 | 58.3% | 1 |
| 2013 | 17 | 7 | 41.2% | 3 |
| 2012 | 19 | 6 | 31.6% | 4 |
| 2011 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 2010 | 19 | 5 | 26.3% | 6 |
| 2009 | 22 | 4 | 18.2% | 10 |
| 2008 | 21 | 4 | 19.1% | 9 |
| 2007 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 2006 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2005 | 18 | 8 | 44.4% | 3 |
| 2004 | 33 | 11 | 33.3% | 7 |
| 2003 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 4 |
| 2002 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2001 | 25 | 7 | 28.0% | 8 |
| 2000 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 9 |
| 1998 | 9 | 4 | 44.4% | 4 |
| 1997 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1996 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1994 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 1 |
| 1993 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1992 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1990 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 7 |
| 1987 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1986 | 18 | 6 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 1985 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 2 |
| 1984 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1982 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 1981 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1980 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1979 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1978 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1977 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1976 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1974 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1972 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1971 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1970 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1966 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
Over 149 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Bahrain drew 32 where the draw model expected 34.3 from those particular fixtures — about 2 fewer, or 0.4 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 35.2 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. 3 of the matches carry no model probability and are left out. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.