What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 15 Jun 2000 → 15 Aug 2001 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 13 | 20 Mar 2025 → 30 May 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 13 | 16 Jun 2015 → 06 Sep 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 13 | 26 Mar 2005 → 25 May 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 27 Oct 1996 → 06 Jul 1997 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 16 Dec 1997 → 04 Oct 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 9 | 22 Sep 2022 → 15 Jun 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 9 | 10 Aug 2011 → 02 Jun 2012 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 9 | 07 Jul 1988 → 12 Mar 1989 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 8 | 03 Jun 2021 → 12 Oct 2021 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 252 | 57 | 22.6% | 1 | 7 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 171 | 42 | 24.6% | 4 | 8 |
| Oceania Nations Cup | 26 | 1 | 3.9% | 2 | 5 |
| AFC Asian Cup | 26 | 5 | 19.2% | 2 | 6 |
| FIFA World Cup | 24 | 6 | 25.0% | 0 | 4 |
| Soccer Ashes | 21 | 1 | 4.8% | 2 | 3 |
| Confederations Cup | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 0 | 5 |
| Trans-Tasman Cup | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 1 | 2 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 1 | 3 |
| EAFF Championship | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 | 2 |
| Vietnam Independence Cup | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 | 5 |
| Merlion Cup | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Korea Cup | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | 0 | 1 |
| Simba Tournament | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Kirin Cup | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| United Arab Emirates Friendship Tournament | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| FIFA Series | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2024 | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 7 |
| 2023 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 4 |
| 2022 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 6 |
| 2021 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 8 |
| 2019 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 6 |
| 2018 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 3 |
| 2017 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 4 |
| 2016 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 2015 | 14 | 2 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 2014 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 6 |
| 2013 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 2012 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 6 |
| 2011 | 17 | 3 | 17.7% | 7 |
| 2010 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2009 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 2008 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 5 |
| 2007 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 2006 | 13 | 4 | 30.8% | 3 |
| 2005 | 12 | 1 | 8.3% | 11 |
| 2004 | 12 | 3 | 25.0% | 7 |
| 2003 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2002 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 2001 | 16 | 1 | 6.3% | 13 |
| 2000 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 8 |
| 1998 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 8 |
| 1997 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 11 |
| 1996 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 3 |
| 1995 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 6 |
| 1994 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1993 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1992 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 7 |
| 1991 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1990 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1989 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1988 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 8 |
| 1987 | 5 | 3 | 60.0% | 1 |
| 1986 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1985 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1984 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1983 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 2 |
| 1982 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1981 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1980 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 5 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1978 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1977 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1976 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1975 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1974 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1973 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1972 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1971 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1970 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 10 | 6 | 60.0% | 2 |
| 1968 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1967 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1965 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1958 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1956 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1955 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1954 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1950 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1948 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1947 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1936 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1933 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1924 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 1923 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1922 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
Over 125 matches (Jan 2015 – Sep 2026), Australia drew 28 where the draw model expected 26.7 from those particular fixtures — about 1 more, or 0.3 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 27.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.