What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 11 Oct 2008 → 16 Mar 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 21 | 04 Sep 2025 → 06 Oct 2026 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 17 | 23 Mar 2023 → 29 Jun 2024 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 16 | 05 Jun 2007 → 04 Jun 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 13 | 10 Mar 1960 → 17 Dec 1960 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 11 | 29 Jun 2005 → 16 Jun 2006 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 11 | 24 Feb 1998 → 26 Jun 1998 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 10 | 19 Mar 1978 → 14 Jun 1978 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 10 | 16 Jul 1922 → 10 Dec 1922 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 9 | 01 Jun 2022 → 03 Dec 2022 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 386 | 99 | 25.7% | 11 | 18 |
| Copa América | 208 | 43 | 20.7% | 2 | 6 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 171 | 44 | 25.7% | 2 | 8 |
| FIFA World Cup | 96 | 17 | 17.7% | 8 | 8 |
| Copa Chevallier Boutell | 29 | 6 | 20.7% | 1 | 2 |
| Copa Lipton | 28 | 11 | 39.3% | 0 | 1 |
| Copa Newton | 26 | 6 | 23.1% | 1 | 1 |
| Copa Roca | 23 | 3 | 13.0% | 2 | 4 |
| Copa Carlos Dittborn | 16 | 5 | 31.3% | 1 | 2 |
| Copa Premio Honor Uruguayo | 15 | 3 | 20.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Copa Premio Honor Argentino | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 1 | 1 |
| Pan American Championship | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 5 | 5 |
| Confederations Cup | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Superclásico de las Américas | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 2 |
| Brazil Independence Cup | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 | 4 |
| Copa Ramón Castilla | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Copa Félix Bogado | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 0 | 2 |
| Atlantic Cup | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Olympic Games | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 1 | 3 |
| Kirin Cup | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 2 |
| Nehru Cup | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 | 1 |
| Four Nations Tournament | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| CONMEBOL–UEFA Cup of Champions | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Mundialito | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 0 | 1 |
| FIFA 75th Anniversary Cup | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Real Madrid 75th Anniversary Cup | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 | 0 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 16 | 0 | 0.0% | 16 |
| 2025 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 2024 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 2023 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 10 |
| 2022 | 16 | 3 | 18.8% | 9 |
| 2021 | 16 | 6 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2020 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 2019 | 15 | 4 | 26.7% | 4 |
| 2018 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 4 |
| 2017 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 4 |
| 2016 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 7 |
| 2015 | 15 | 6 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2014 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 7 |
| 2013 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 5 |
| 2012 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 2011 | 21 | 8 | 38.1% | 4 |
| 2010 | 14 | 0 | 0.0% | 14 |
| 2009 | 14 | 0 | 0.0% | 14 |
| 2008 | 12 | 6 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 2007 | 16 | 2 | 12.5% | 13 |
| 2006 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2005 | 17 | 4 | 23.5% | 7 |
| 2004 | 18 | 3 | 16.7% | 7 |
| 2003 | 13 | 3 | 23.1% | 7 |
| 2002 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 3 |
| 2001 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 2000 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 1999 | 14 | 3 | 21.4% | 8 |
| 1998 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 11 |
| 1997 | 14 | 5 | 35.7% | 4 |
| 1996 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1995 | 16 | 4 | 25.0% | 6 |
| 1994 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 1993 | 17 | 8 | 47.1% | 5 |
| 1992 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1991 | 14 | 6 | 42.9% | 5 |
| 1990 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 3 |
| 1989 | 11 | 6 | 54.6% | 2 |
| 1988 | 7 | 3 | 42.9% | 2 |
| 1987 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1986 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1985 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 6 |
| 1984 | 12 | 5 | 41.7% | 4 |
| 1983 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | 2 |
| 1982 | 10 | 3 | 30.0% | 7 |
| 1981 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1980 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 3 |
| 1979 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 1978 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 10 |
| 1977 | 11 | 4 | 36.4% | 4 |
| 1976 | 13 | 2 | 15.4% | 6 |
| 1975 | 8 | 1 | 12.5% | 7 |
| 1974 | 13 | 5 | 38.5% | 3 |
| 1973 | 12 | 4 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1972 | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 6 |
| 1971 | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 1970 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 4 |
| 1969 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 4 |
| 1968 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 5 |
| 1967 | 9 | 1 | 11.1% | 5 |
| 1966 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1965 | 9 | 5 | 55.6% | 2 |
| 1964 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 4 |
| 1963 | 10 | 1 | 10.0% | 5 |
| 1962 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1961 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1960 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 13 |
| 1959 | 11 | 2 | 18.2% | 5 |
| 1958 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 7 |
| 1957 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 7 |
| 1956 | 17 | 5 | 29.4% | 5 |
| 1955 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1953 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1952 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1947 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 3 |
| 1946 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1945 | 15 | 2 | 13.3% | 5 |
| 1943 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 1942 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 4 |
| 1941 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1940 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 9 |
| 1939 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1938 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1937 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1936 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1935 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1934 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1933 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1932 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1931 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1930 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1929 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 1928 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 3 |
| 1927 | 5 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1926 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 5 |
| 1925 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 3 |
| 1924 | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | 4 |
| 1923 | 11 | 3 | 27.3% | 6 |
| 1922 | 11 | 1 | 9.1% | 10 |
| 1921 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1920 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 3 |
| 1919 | 13 | 1 | 7.7% | 7 |
| 1918 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 1917 | 6 | 0 | 0.0% | 6 |
| 1916 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 5 |
| 1915 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1914 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 1913 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 6 |
| 1912 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 3 |
| 1911 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | 2 |
| 1910 | 7 | 1 | 14.3% | 5 |
| 1909 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1908 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 1906 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 1905 | 1 | 1 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 1903 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1902 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 154 matches (Mar 2015 – Oct 2026), Argentina drew 31 where the draw model expected 28.7 from those particular fixtures — about 2 more, or 0.5 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 34.7 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.