What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every national team ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 3 Nov 2026.
| # | Run | From → To | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 11 Jun 2015 → 29 Mar 2016 | ▸ matches |
| 2 | 7 | 17 Nov 2010 → 29 Jun 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 3 | 5 | 16 Nov 2024 → 10 Jun 2025 | ▸ matches |
| 4 | 5 | 12 Sep 2023 → 21 Nov 2023 | ▸ matches |
| 5 | 5 | 10 Jan 2003 → 18 Mar 2003 | ▸ matches |
| 6 | 4 | 06 Jun 2017 → 05 Sep 2017 | ▸ matches |
| 7 | 4 | 04 Jun 2013 → 04 Sep 2013 | ▸ matches |
| 8 | 4 | 05 Dec 2011 → 11 Dec 2011 | ▸ matches |
| 9 | 4 | 08 Jun 2008 → 03 Aug 2008 | ▸ matches |
| 10 | 4 | 09 Nov 2005 → 11 Dec 2005 | ▸ matches |
| Competition | P | D | Draw% | N | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friendly | 36 | 8 | 22.2% | 3 | 4 |
| FIFA World Cup qualification | 30 | 6 | 20.0% | 1 | 8 |
| AFC Asian Cup qualification | 26 | 8 | 30.8% | 0 | 4 |
| SAFF Cup | 25 | 4 | 16.0% | 5 | 5 |
| AFC Challenge Cup | 10 | 5 | 50.0% | 0 | 3 |
| AFC Challenge Cup qualification | 10 | 2 | 20.0% | 0 | 5 |
| Asian Games | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 2 |
| Diamond Jubilee International Football Tournament | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 3 |
| Merdeka Tournament | 2 | 1 | 50.0% | 1 | 1 |
| CAFA Nations Cup | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1 |
| Year | P | D | Draw% | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 3 |
| 2025 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 3 |
| 2024 | 6 | 2 | 33.3% | 2 |
| 2023 | 8 | 2 | 25.0% | 5 |
| 2022 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 3 |
| 2021 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 1 |
| 2019 | 7 | 2 | 28.6% | 3 |
| 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2017 | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | 4 |
| 2016 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 3 |
| 2015 | 14 | 1 | 7.1% | 11 |
| 2014 | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 2 |
| 2013 | 9 | 2 | 22.2% | 4 |
| 2011 | 12 | 2 | 16.7% | 6 |
| 2010 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 2009 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2008 | 10 | 4 | 40.0% | 4 |
| 2007 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 2006 | 2 | 2 | 100.0% | 0 |
| 2005 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | 4 |
| 2003 | 7 | 0 | 0.0% | 5 |
| 1984 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 1979 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1977 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1976 | 3 | 1 | 33.3% | 1 |
| 1975 | 6 | 1 | 16.7% | 4 |
| 1954 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1951 | 2 | 0 | 0.0% | 2 |
| 1950 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
| 1941 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 1 |
Over 147 matches (Aug 1941 – Jun 2026), Afghanistan drew 34 where the draw model expected 30.4 from those particular fixtures — about 4 more, or 0.7 standard errors, which is what the model expected, near enough.
A flat league average would have expected 29.4 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.