Played 211
Draw % 18.5%
No-draw N 3
Max streak 15 25 Jun 2024 → 27 Sep 2024
Avg top run 9.8 top 10
Draw debt E 0.52
p50 16.0%
p100 18.0%
Draw score 0.179 rank #845 Draws 39
Team strength · Elo all ratings ›
Rating 1,612 everyone starts at 1500
Peak 1,718 reached 9 Jul 2023
Rank #506 of 14,595 clubs
Matches rated 211 last 18 Sep 2026

What this team's results have earned: every match in the database is replayed in date order, both sides start at 1500 and the winner takes points from the loser. The rating is the one it held after its last rated match, and the rank counts every club ever rated, sides that no longer play included. A measure of strength, not a forecast of the next result. Computed 1 Oct 2026.

Recent form · draws highlighted
W W L W L W W W L L W L W W W D W L D L L D W L L W D L L L

Over 198 matches (Feb 2015 – Sep 2026), AC Oulu drew 36 where the draw model expected 46.5 from those particular fixtures — about 10 fewer, or 1.8 standard errors, a gap most teams show over a stretch this long.

As unusual as a coin landing the same way 4 times running. A flat league average would have expected 46.9 instead — "more draws than the league" and "more draws than these fixtures deserved" are different claims. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Longest no-draw runs all on the records page ›
# Run From → To
1 15 25 Jun 2024 → 27 Sep 2024 ▸ matches
2 14 13 Jul 2025 → 18 Oct 2025 ▸ matches
3 12 13 May 2022 → 31 Jul 2022 ▸ matches
4 10 04 Apr 2026 → 31 May 2026 ▸ matches
5 9 05 Apr 2025 → 17 May 2025 ▸ matches
6 9 03 May 2021 → 30 Jun 2021 ▸ matches
7 8 19 Aug 2023 → 06 Oct 2023 ▸ matches
8 7 27 Jun 2023 → 30 Jul 2023 ▸ matches
9 7 29 Apr 2023 → 26 May 2023 ▸ matches
10 7 11 Sep 2022 → 19 Oct 2022 ▸ matches
By competition (all-time)
CompetitionPDDraw%NMax
Veikkausliiga 166 32 19.3% 3 13
Finnish Cup 45 7 15.6% 2 5
By calendar year
YearPDDraw%Max
2026 25 4 16.0% 10
2025 31 4 12.9% 14
2024 32 7 21.9% 15
2023 34 8 23.5% 8
2022 33 7 21.2% 12
2021 29 5 17.2% 9
2020 1 0 0.0% 1
2019 1 0 0.0% 1
2018 1 0 0.0% 1
2017 5 0 0.0% 5
2016 1 0 0.0% 1
2015 5 1 20.0% 3
2014 2 0 0.0% 2
2012 2 0 0.0% 2
2011 2 1 50.0% 1
2010 1 0 0.0% 1
2008 1 0 0.0% 1
2007 4 2 50.0% 2
2003 1 0 0.0% 1
Matches all results ›