▦ FDB4
No-draw streak ‹ back to records
CAM · National Team

Cambodia

A run of consecutive matches without a draw.
37
non-draws in a row
05 Jun 2015 → 27 Mar 2018
Was this a feat, or a coincidence? how this is worked out ›
Draws the model expected 6.6 across these 37 fixtures, one chance each
A flat league rate expected 9.0 the same question, asked without knowing the fixtures
Chance of no draw at all 1 in 1,670 for this run alone — and that overstates it
Runs this long, expected anywhere 7.86 across every run in the database

Each match gets its own draw chance from the five-feature logistic draw model, recalibrated by its isotonic map, and the run's own probability is those chances multiplied — the Poisson-binomial reading. A binomial at the run's average chance would have called it 1.13× more likely, which is the direction that error always goes. The last tile is the figure to quote: a run picked out because it is long is not a coincidence you get to be surprised by — why that is, and what the same question says about every other record here. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Matches in this run
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
the draw before the run
02 Jun 2015 Cambodia 1–1 Laos D ITL · Friendly
☆ 05 Jun 2015 Cambodia 1–0 Myanmar H ITL · Friendly
☆ 11 Jun 2015 Cambodia 0–4 Singapore A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 16 Jun 2015 Cambodia 0–1 Afghanistan A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 20 Aug 2015 Cambodia 2–0 Bhutan H ITL · Friendly
☆ 29 Aug 2015 Laos 2–1 Cambodia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 03 Sep 2015 Japan 3–0 Cambodia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 08 Sep 2015 Cambodia 0–6 Syria A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 13 Oct 2015 Singapore 2–1 Cambodia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 03 Nov 2015 Cambodia 6–1 Brunei H ITL · Friendly
☆ 12 Nov 2015 Afghanistan 3–0 Cambodia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 17 Nov 2015 Cambodia 0–2 Japan A ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 11 Jan 2016 Maldives 3–2 Cambodia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 24 Mar 2016 Syria 6–0 Cambodia H ITL · FIFA World Cup qualification
☆ 29 May 2016 Cambodia 2–0 Timor-Leste H ITL · Friendly
☆ 07 Jun 2016 Cambodia 2–0 Chinese Taipei H ITL · AFC Asian Cup qualification
☆ 28 Jul 2016 Cambodia 2–1 Singapore H ITL · Friendly
☆ 01 Sep 2016 Hong Kong 4–2 Cambodia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 06 Oct 2016 Cambodia 0–2 Hong Kong A ITL · Friendly
☆ 09 Oct 2016 Cambodia 4–0 Sri Lanka H ITL · Friendly
☆ 15 Oct 2016 Cambodia 2–1 Laos H ITL · AFF Championship qualification
☆ 18 Oct 2016 Cambodia 3–0 Brunei H ITL · AFF Championship qualification
☆ 21 Oct 2016 Cambodia 3–2 Timor-Leste H ITL · AFF Championship qualification
☆ 13 Nov 2016 Singapore 1–0 Cambodia H ITL · Friendly
☆ 20 Nov 2016 Malaysia 3–2 Cambodia H ITL · AFF Championship
☆ 23 Nov 2016 Myanmar 3–1 Cambodia H ITL · AFF Championship
☆ 26 Nov 2016 Vietnam 2–1 Cambodia H ITL · AFF Championship
☆ 14 Jan 2017 Cambodia 2–7 Saudi Arabia A ITL · Friendly
☆ 22 Mar 2017 Cambodia 2–3 India A ITL · Friendly
☆ 28 Mar 2017 Jordan 7–0 Cambodia H ITL · AFC Asian Cup qualification
☆ 08 Jun 2017 Cambodia 0–2 Indonesia A ITL · Friendly
☆ 13 Jun 2017 Cambodia 1–0 Afghanistan H ITL · AFC Asian Cup qualification
☆ 05 Sep 2017 Cambodia 1–2 Vietnam A ITL · AFC Asian Cup qualification
☆ 10 Oct 2017 Vietnam 5–0 Cambodia H ITL · AFC Asian Cup qualification
☆ 09 Nov 2017 Cambodia 1–2 Myanmar A ITL · Friendly
☆ 14 Nov 2017 Cambodia 0–1 Jordan A ITL · AFC Asian Cup qualification
☆ 21 Mar 2018 Laos 0–1 Cambodia A ITL · Friendly
☆ 27 Mar 2018 Afghanistan 2–1 Cambodia H ITL · AFC Asian Cup qualification
Run bounded by a coverage gap — the next match on record is more than 140 days away, so no draw ended this run.

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