Match ☆ 01 Dec 2026 · 13:40 UTC
KSA · King's Cup · 2026 Round of 16
KSA Al Ula
Current form · last 20
No played matches yet.
Latest results · oldest first
Current league place
Current league standing unavailable
As of this morning · domestic league only
–:–
Scheduled
KSA Al-Ahli
Current form · last 20
L W L W L L W L W D D W L W L W W W W L
Latest results · oldest first
Current league place
#6 / 18 · KSA · Saudi Pro League · 2026/27
As of this morning · domestic league only
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Al Ula Al-Ahli
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw — 9
Max Nthis team's longest run ever — 9
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run — 1.42
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches — 14.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches — 17.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn — 15.8%
Draw scorethe predictor ranking score — 0.493
Rankposition in that ranking — 108

These are each team's figures as they stand today — this match has no stored Cross row, so they are not the numbers that held when it was played.

Team strength · Elo
Al Ula —
Al-Ahli 1,574
Rating gap — home advantage included
Draws at this gap —
Goals model · Dixon-Coles
Expected goals 1.96 – 1.78 home – away
Home win 42.5%
Draw 22.2% every level score added up
Away win 35.3%

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.