| Figure | Ararat Yerevan | Lori | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|
| N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw | 1 | 6 | matches in a row without a draw |
| Max Nthis team's longest run ever | 19 | 23 | this team's longest run ever |
| E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run | 0.21 | 1.85 | expected draws over the current run |
| p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches | 22.0% | 32.0% | draw rate over its last 50 matches |
| p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches | 21.0% | 30.0% | draw rate over its last 100 matches |
| Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn | 19.9% | 23.7% | share of every match drawn |
| Σ Nboth sides' runs added | 7 | both sides' runs added | |
| Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added | 2.06 | both sides' draw debt added | |
These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 16 Mar 2021, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.
No prediction stored for this match.
A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.