Match ☆ 16 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
KSA · Saudi Pro League · 2026
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Al Riyadh Al-Hilal
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 0 6
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 3 6
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.00 1.64
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 21.4% 28.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 21.4% 27.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 21.4% 25.5%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 6
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 1.64

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 16 Oct 2026, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Al Riyadh 1,478
Al-Hilal 1,728
Rating gap -185 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 23.7% 150–199 · 53,286 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.