| Figure | FC Cincinnati | D.C. United | What it means |
|---|---|---|---|
| N — no-draw run | 1 | 0 | matches in a row without a draw |
| Max N | 22 | 16 | this team's longest run ever |
| E — draw debt | 0.20 | 0.00 | expected draws over the current run |
| p50 — last 50 | 22.0% | 42.0% | draw rate over its last 50 matches |
| p100 — last 100 | 19.0% | 37.0% | draw rate over its last 100 matches |
| Draw % — all time | 24.5% | 26.3% | share of every match drawn |
| Σ N | 1 | both sides' runs added | |
| Σ E | 0.20 | both sides' draw debt added | |
These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 6 Sep 2026, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.
No prediction stored for this match.
A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.