Match ☆ 03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
ENG · League One · 2026
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Sheffield Wednesday Cambridge United
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 0 0
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 16 15
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.00 0.00
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 24.0% 38.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 29.0% 33.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 26.4% 26.8%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 0
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.00

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 3 Oct 2026, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Sheffield Wednesday 1,562
Cambridge United 1,654
Rating gap -27 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 26.3% 25–49 · 72,960 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.