▦ FDB4
No-draw streak ‹ back to records
CHN · Club

Hebei

A run of consecutive matches without a draw.
35
non-draws in a row
03 Jun 2022 → 30 Dec 2022
Was this a feat, or a coincidence? how this is worked out ›
Draws the model expected 7.2 across these 35 fixtures, one chance each
A flat league rate expected 8.5 the same question, asked without knowing the fixtures
Chance of no draw at all 1 in 3,540 for this run alone — and that overstates it
Runs this long, expected anywhere 12.70 across every run in the database

Each match gets its own draw chance from the five-feature logistic draw model, recalibrated by its isotonic map, and the run's own probability is those chances multiplied — the Poisson-binomial reading. A binomial at the run's average chance would have called it 1.13× more likely, which is the direction that error always goes. The last tile is the figure to quote: a run picked out because it is long is not a coincidence you get to be surprised by — why that is, and what the same question says about every other record here. These matches were part of the model's own training set, so its chances were fitted already knowing the results.

Matches in this run
Date Home Score Away R Tournament
Run bounded by a coverage gap — the previous match on record is more than 140 days away, so no draw started this run.
☆ 03 Jun 2022 Hebei 0–4 Wuhan Three Towns A CHN · Super League
☆ 07 Jun 2022 Wuhan FC 2–1 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 11 Jun 2022 Hebei 0–2 Shanghai Port A CHN · Super League
☆ 16 Jun 2022 Hebei 1–3 Shanghai Shenhua A CHN · Super League
☆ 19 Jun 2022 Guangzhou FC 1–0 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 26 Jun 2022 Wuhan Three Towns 5–0 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 30 Jun 2022 Hebei 2–1 Wuhan FC H CHN · Super League
☆ 04 Jul 2022 Shanghai Port 2–1 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 07 Jul 2022 Shanghai Shenhua 1–0 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 11 Jul 2022 Hebei 0–1 Guangzhou FC A CHN · Super League
☆ 05 Aug 2022 Hebei 0–1 Chengdu Rongcheng A CHN · Super League
☆ 11 Aug 2022 Hebei 3–4 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger A CHN · Super League
☆ 15 Aug 2022 Hebei 0–7 Shandong Taishan A CHN · Super League
☆ 19 Aug 2022 Hebei 1–7 Changchun Yatai A CHN · Super League
☆ 28 Aug 2022 Zhejiang Professional 3–0 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 10 Sep 2022 Meizhou Hakka 6–0 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 14 Sep 2022 Beijing Guoan 3–1 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 20 Sep 2022 Dalian Pro 2–1 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 04 Oct 2022 Hebei 0–5 Cangzhou Mighty Lions A CHN · Super League
☆ 08 Oct 2022 Henan Songshan Longmen 1–0 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 24 Oct 2022 Shenzhen 2–1 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 29 Oct 2022 Hebei 0–4 Guangzhou City A CHN · Super League
☆ 03 Nov 2022 Chengdu Rongcheng 6–0 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 07 Nov 2022 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 5–0 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 12 Nov 2022 Shandong Taishan 4–0 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 16 Nov 2022 Chengdu Rongcheng 3–0 Hebei H CHN · Chinese FA Cup
☆ 21 Nov 2022 Changchun Yatai 4–1 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 26 Nov 2022 Hebei 1–6 Zhejiang Professional A CHN · Super League
☆ 30 Nov 2022 Hebei 1–4 Dalian Pro A CHN · Super League
☆ 05 Dec 2022 Hebei 0–4 Meizhou Hakka A CHN · Super League
☆ 10 Dec 2022 Hebei 0–4 Beijing Guoan A CHN · Super League
☆ 15 Dec 2022 Hebei 2–0 Shenzhen H CHN · Super League
☆ 23 Dec 2022 Guangzhou City 4–1 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 27 Dec 2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions 3–0 Hebei H CHN · Super League
☆ 30 Dec 2022 Hebei 0–4 Henan Songshan Longmen A CHN · Super League
Still running — this is the team’s latest recorded match in this scope.

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