Match ☆ 21 Jul 2005
ARM · Premier League · 2005
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Kotayk Lernayin Artsakh
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 1 11
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 10 15
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.25 1.76
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 26.0% 14.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 25.0% 17.4%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 20.0% 17.4%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 12
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 2.02

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 21 Jul 2005, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Kotayk 1,616
Lernayin Artsakh 1,382
Rating gap +299 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 20.6% 200–299 · 49,479 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.