Match ☆ 09 Sep 2001
ARM · Premier League · 2001
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Zvartnots-AAL Lernayin Artsakh
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 10 6
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 19 6
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 1.82 1.30
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 18.0% 21.7%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 18.3% 21.7%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 18.3% 21.7%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 16
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 3.12

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 9 Sep 2001, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Zvartnots-AAL 1,637
Lernayin Artsakh 1,382
Rating gap +320 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 14.0% 300+ · 22,514 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.