Match ☆ 18 May 2000
ARM · Premier League · 2000
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Kilikia Shirak
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 3 0
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 15 21
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.37 0.00
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 12.2% 14.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 12.2% 18.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 12.2% 18.0%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 3
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.37

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 18 May 2000, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Kilikia 1,382
Shirak 1,374
Rating gap +74 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 25.0% 50–74 · 79,160 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.