Match ☆ 16 Apr 1999
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The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Dvin Artashat Zvartnots-AAL
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 3 6
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 3 6
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.50 0.00
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 16.7% 0.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 16.7% 0.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 16.7% 0.0%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 9
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.50

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 16 Apr 1999, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Dvin Artashat 1,288
Zvartnots-AAL 1,637
Rating gap -285 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 20.6% 200–299 · 49,473 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.