Match ☆ 26 Aug 2011
IRL · FAI Cup · 2011 Round of 16
IRL Sheriff YC
Current form · last 20
W W L W W L L W D D L L L
Latest results · oldest first
Current league place
Current league standing unavailable
As of this morning · domestic league only
0–3
Awarded
IRL Shelbourne
Current form · last 20
D D W D L D W D D L L D D L L W D W W W
Latest results · oldest first
Current league place
Current league standing unavailable
As of this morning · domestic league only
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Sheriff YC Shelbourne
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 2 1
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 2 4
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.00 0.32
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 0.0% 34.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 0.0% 30.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 0.0% 27.3%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 3
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.32

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 26 Aug 2011, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Sheriff YC 1,480
Shelbourne 1,714
Rating gap -169 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 23.7% 150–199 · 53,406 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.