Match ☆ 25 Feb 2019
SWE · Swedish Cup · 2018 Group stage
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The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure IFK Göteborg GAIS
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 6 1
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 12 10
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 1.26 0.25
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 18.0% 24.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 23.0% 25.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 24.6% 25.0%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 7
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 1.51

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 25 Feb 2019, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
IFK Göteborg 1,786
GAIS 1,817
Rating gap +33 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 26.3% 25–49 · 72,978 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.