Match ☆ 06 Apr 2008
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The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Akropolis IF AFC Eskilstuna
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw — 1
Max Nthis team's longest run ever — 4
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run — 0.32
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches — 31.6%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches — 31.6%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn — 31.6%

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 6 Apr 2008, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Akropolis IF has no earlier match in the database, so its column is empty. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Akropolis IF 1,522
AFC Eskilstuna 1,509
Rating gap +77 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 25.2% 75–99 · 64,797 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.