Match ☆ 11 Feb 1998
TUR · Turkish Cup · 1997 Quarter-final
Trabzonspor advance · agg 4–2
1st leg: Fenerbahce 2–1 Trabzonspor · 28 Jan 1998 · Agg 4–2 Trabzonspor advance
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Trabzonspor Fenerbahce
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 0 1
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 19 15
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.00 0.23
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 26.0% 24.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 19.0% 23.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 21.1% 20.5%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 1
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.23

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 11 Feb 1998, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Trabzonspor 1,855
Fenerbahce 1,924
Rating gap -4 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 27.4% 0–24 · 67,296 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.