Match ☆ 01 May 2019
CHN · Chinese FA Cup · 2019
CHN Shenzhen
Current form · last 20
L D L L L L L D L L L L L L L L L L L L
Latest results · oldest first
Current league place
Current league standing unavailable
As of this morning · domestic league only
0–3
Awarded
CHN Shanghai Shenhua
Current form · last 20
D L D W W W L W L L W W L W L W D W W L
Latest results · oldest first
Current league place
Current league standing unavailable
As of this morning · domestic league only
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Shenzhen Shanghai Shenhua
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 1 1
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 4 14
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.26 0.25
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 24.0% 24.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 27.8% 25.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 27.8% 25.9%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 2
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.51

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 1 May 2019, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Shenzhen 1,339
Shanghai Shenhua 1,792
Rating gap -388 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 13.9% 300+ · 22,591 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.