Match ☆ 16 Jul 1998
CHN · Chinese FA Cup · 1998
CHN Qingdao Hainiu
Current form · last 20
L L L L D W D L L L L L L L L L L L L L
Latest results · oldest first
Current league place
Current league standing unavailable
As of this morning · domestic league only
0–3
Awarded
CHN Shanghai Shenhua
Current form · last 20
D L D W W W L W L L W W L W L W D W W L
Latest results · oldest first
Current league place
Current league standing unavailable
As of this morning · domestic league only
2nd leg: Shanghai Shenhua 2–1 Qingdao Hainiu · 19 Jul 1998 · Agg 5–1 Shanghai Shenhua advance
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Qingdao Hainiu Shanghai Shenhua
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 2 3
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 4 5
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.17 0.67
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 8.3% 22.2%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 8.3% 22.2%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 8.3% 22.2%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 5
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.83

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 16 Jul 1998, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Qingdao Hainiu 1,470
Shanghai Shenhua 1,792
Rating gap -258 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 20.6% 200–299 · 49,668 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.