Match ☆ 25 Jul 2010
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The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure K. FC Herentals K. Willebroekse SV
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 1 2
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 4 5
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.13 0.29
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 13.3% 12.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 13.3% 15.9%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 13.3% 15.9%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 3
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.42

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 25 Jul 2010, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
K. FC Herentals 1,510
K. Willebroekse SV 1,480
Rating gap +94 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 25.2% 75–99 · 64,800 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.