Match ☆ 27 Jul 2022
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The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Górnik Polkowice GKS Bełchatów
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 1 1
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 3 10
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.28 0.24
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 27.6% 24.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 27.6% 24.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 27.6% 20.5%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 2
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.52

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 27 Jul 2022, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Górnik Polkowice 1,464
GKS Bełchatów 1,457
Rating gap +72 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 25.0% 50–74 · 79,153 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.