Match ☆ 18 Jul 2012
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The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 18 Jul 2012, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Neither side has an earlier match in the database, so there is nothing to show. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Luboński KS 1,510
Calisia Kalisz 1,466
Rating gap +109 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 25.3% 100–149 · 86,911 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.