Match ☆ 21 Jul 2011
POL · Polish Cup · 2011
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The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Resovia GLKS Nadarzyn
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 0 —
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 3 —
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.00 —
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 17.9% —
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 17.9% —
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 17.9% —

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 21 Jul 2011, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. GLKS Nadarzyn has no earlier match in the database, so its column is empty. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Resovia 1,509
GLKS Nadarzyn —
Rating gap — home advantage included
Draws at this gap —
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.