Match ☆ 29 Aug 2007
POL · Polish Cup · 2007
POL Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Current form · last 20
L D W D L W W D W L L W L W L W W W D L
Latest results · oldest first
Current league place
Current league standing unavailable
As of this morning · domestic league only
0–3
Awarded
POL Ruch Chorzów
Current form · last 20
D W L L D D L L W W W L W W W W W L L L
Latest results · oldest first
Current league place
Current league standing unavailable
As of this morning · domestic league only
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Zawisza Bydgoszcz Ruch Chorzów
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 1 5
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 4 7
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.22 0.96
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 22.0% 18.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 22.0% 20.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 22.0% 18.3%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 6
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 1.18

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 29 Aug 2007, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Zawisza Bydgoszcz 1,557
Ruch Chorzów 1,551
Rating gap +71 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 25.0% 50–74 · 79,338 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.