Match ☆ 09 Aug 2005
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The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Mazowsze Płock RKS Radomsko
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw — 0
Max Nthis team's longest run ever — 7
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run — 0.00
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches — 23.7%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches — 23.7%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn — 23.7%

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 9 Aug 2005, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Mazowsze Płock has no earlier match in the database, so its column is empty. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Mazowsze Płock 1,471
RKS Radomsko 1,503
Rating gap +33 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 26.3% 25–49 · 72,964 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.