Match ☆ 15 May 1991
POL · Polish Cup · 1990 Semi-final
2nd leg: Legia Warszawa 1–0 Olimpia Poznań · 05 Jun 1991 · Agg 4–0 Legia Warszawa advance
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Olimpia Poznań Legia Warszawa
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 0 1
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 2 7
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.00 0.28
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 23.1% 26.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 23.1% 29.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 23.1% 27.9%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 1
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.28

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 15 May 1991, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Olimpia Poznań 1,529
Legia Warszawa 1,767
Rating gap -173 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 23.7% 150–199 · 53,229 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.