Match ☆ 22 Oct 1939
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The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure FC Amical Saint-Prex FC Renens
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw — 0
Max Nthis team's longest run ever — 3
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run — 0.00
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches — 13.6%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches — 13.6%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn — 13.6%

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 22 Oct 1939, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. FC Amical Saint-Prex has no earlier match in the database, so its column is empty. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
FC Amical Saint-Prex 1,459
FC Renens 1,519
Rating gap +5 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 27.4% 0–24 · 67,293 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.