Match ☆ 30 Aug 1936
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The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Fulgor Grenchen FC Madretsch (Biel)
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 2 3
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 2 4
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.00 0.13
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 0.0% 4.2%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 0.0% 4.2%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 0.0% 4.2%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 5
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.13

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 30 Aug 1936, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Fulgor Grenchen 1,450
FC Madretsch (Biel) 1,491
Rating gap +24 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 27.4% 0–24 · 67,289 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.