Match ☆ 29 Aug 2021
GRE · Greek Football Cup · 2021
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The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Panionios APO Atalanti
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 0 0
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 19 2
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.00 0.00
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 22.0% 33.3%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 23.0% 33.3%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 23.4% 33.3%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 0
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.00

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 29 Aug 2021, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Panionios 1,547
APO Atalanti 1,504
Rating gap +108 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 25.3% 100–149 · 86,905 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.