Match ☆ 27 Apr 2016
GRE · Greek Football Cup · 2015 Semi-final
Olympiacos Piraeus advance · agg 6–0
1st leg: PAOK Thessaloniki 0–3 Olympiacos Piraeus · 02 Mar 2016 · Agg 6–0 Olympiacos Piraeus advance
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Olympiacos Piraeus PAOK Thessaloniki
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 10 0
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 27 19
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 1.26 0.00
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 12.0% 38.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 13.0% 26.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 15.8% 22.8%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 10
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 1.26

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 27 Apr 2016, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Olympiacos Piraeus 1,933
PAOK Thessaloniki 1,876
Rating gap +122 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 25.3% 100–149 · 86,917 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.