Match ☆ 08 Jan 2015
GRE · Greek Football Cup · 2014 Group stage
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Niki Volos OFI Crete
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 8 2
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 8 20
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 1.86 0.44
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 22.0% 18.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 24.0% 25.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 21.4% 22.9%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 10
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 2.30

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 8 Jan 2015, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Niki Volos 1,493
OFI Crete 1,702
Rating gap -144 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 25.3% 100–149 · 86,905 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.