Match ☆ 11 Sep 2014
GRE · Greek Football Cup · 2014 Preliminary
Zakynthos advance · agg 6–0
1st leg: Doxa Drama 0–3 Zakynthos · 30 Aug 2014 · Agg 6–0 Zakynthos advance
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Zakynthos Doxa Drama
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 1 0
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 2 20
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.43 0.00
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 42.9% 22.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 42.9% 21.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 42.9% 19.1%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 1
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.43

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 11 Sep 2014, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Zakynthos 1,516
Doxa Drama 1,454
Rating gap +127 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 25.3% 100–149 · 86,908 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.