Match ☆ 19 Dec 2012
GRE · Greek Football Cup · 2012 Round of 32
Olympiacos Piraeus advance · agg 5–0
1st leg: Olympiacos Piraeus 2–0 Panachaiki · 28 Nov 2012 · Agg 5–0 Olympiacos Piraeus advance
View head-to-head record →
The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Panachaiki Olympiacos Piraeus
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 1 2
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 16 27
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 0.27 0.23
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 28.0% 12.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 26.0% 11.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 24.2% 16.3%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 3
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 0.50

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 19 Dec 2012, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Panachaiki 1,542
Olympiacos Piraeus 1,921
Rating gap -314 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 14.0% 300+ · 22,510 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.