Match ☆ 08 Jan 1992
GRE · Greek Football Cup · 1991 Round of 32
2nd leg: Atromitos Athens 0–1 Panionios · 22 Jan 1992 · Agg 2–1 Atromitos Athens advance
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The models forecast for this fixture
Draw predictor · this site's own figures
Figure Panionios Atromitos Athens
N — no-draw runmatches in a row without a draw 8 1
Max Nthis team's longest run ever 10 3
E — draw debtexpected draws over the current run 1.30 0.17
p50 — last 50draw rate over its last 50 matches 18.0% 18.0%
p100 — last 100draw rate over its last 100 matches 15.0% 17.0%
Draw % — all timeshare of every match drawn 18.4% 17.0%
Σ Nboth sides' runs added 9
Σ Eboth sides' draw debt added 1.47

These are the figures that held before kick-off: each side's record over every match it had played before 8 Jan 1992, computed exactly as the predictor computes today's. Draw score and rank are left out: both place a team against the whole field, and the field can only be scored as it stands now.

Team strength · Elo
Panionios 1,547
Atromitos Athens 1,620
Rating gap -9 home advantage included
Draws at this gap 27.4% 0–24 · 67,294 matches
Goals model · Dixon-Coles

No prediction stored for this match.

A forecast from every match played so far. Measured over 160,869 priced matches the goals model is slightly worse than the bookmakers (how it is scored), so a high draw chance means an even, low-scoring match rather than value. Descriptive statistics, not betting advice.